How COVID-19 Impacts Indian Retail Chains ?

The once in a decade event “Viral Infection – COVID-19” is going to have an unprecedented impact on the organized retail traders in India. With lockdown impacting business completely in April & May and gradual recovery in June across the length and breadth of the country.

Titan’s revenues to be hit nearly ~65% in Q1FY21, along with significant hit to the margins. We anticipate the watches division to be impacted the most (~92% dip YoY), followed by eyewear (~85% dip) and jewelry (~70% dip; for the remainder of the year, we expect a gradual bounce back in jewelry demand to be spurred by festive buying, wedding / occasion-based purchases, which in our view will take time to manifest in revenues, additionally we would watch for commentary on (more…)

BigBasket – India’s Online Grocer

Big Bsket - Online Grockery Shopping in IndiaThe total grocery business in India is US$150-200 bn and is growing 15% p.a. The top 10 cities account for about 30-40% of it. The largest offline grocers are Reliance Fresh, Future Group, and Aditya Birla. BigBasket is currently available in four cities – Bangalore, Hyderabad, Mumbai, and Pune – with 300,000 unique customers (50% of them in Bangalore). BigBasket.Com has recorded a 9% compound monthly growth rate since inception and has cumulatively serviced more than 2 mn orders.

The key advantages of online groceries (more…)

Indian Shopping Gradually Shifting from Unorganized to Organized / Modern Retail

Indian Retail Sector Shifting to Organized ShoppingUnorganised retail – the traditional retail format comprising kirana shops, mandi, local shops, hand crafts, pavement vendors etc – has a higher share in Indian retail, as majority sales originated from rural areas. However, organised / modern retail has posted a robust 27.4% CAGR over FY07-11 in India.

As per a recent CARE report, organized / modern retail could post 25.7% CAGR over FY12-15e. With this, the share of organised retail in overall sales could rise from 6.7% in FY12 to 8.8% in FY15e. Moreover, we believe the organised (more…)